Pompey chimes still ringing loud and proud in League 1 ..........

football betting tips -

League 1 outright update:

 
2023/24 Overall Home Away
P W D L F A Gdf Pts Form P W D L F A P W D L F A
  1   Portsmouth 21 14 6 1 37 16 +21 48 WWWW 11 7 3 1 16 10 10 7 3 0 21 6
  2   Peterborough United 21 12 5 4 41 20 +21 41 WWXW 10 7 2 1 25 7 11 5 3 3 16 13
  3   Oxford United 21 12 4 5 35 22 +13 40 WXLO 10 6 3 1 18 7 11 6 1 4 17 15
  4   Stevenage 22 11 7 4 32 21 +11 40 XWXW 11 4 6 1 14 10 11 7 1 3 18 11
  5   Bolton Wanderers 20 12 3 5 38 22 +16 39 LLOW 11 7 1 3 24 15 9 5 2 2 14 7
  6   Derby County 20 11 4 5 35 17 +18 37 XWWW 10 5 3 2 16 7 10 6 1 3 19 10
  7   Barnsley 20 10 5 5 38 22 +16 35 XWWX 10 4 2 4 20 13 10 6 3 1 18 9
  8   Blackpool 22 9 6 7 37 27 +10 33 LWLW 12 7 2 3 25 13 10 2 4 4 12 14
 
We can take a quick look at the top of League 1 and whilst there is still a long way to go, it is hard to see how our bets on Portsmouth could be going any better. 
 
My original notes are reproduced below the "good luck" sign off and Pompey are now average odds of 2.10 (2.375 top quote) to win League 1 and a respective 1.25 and 1.40 for promotion, so good value for anyone who has bet.
 
Portsmouth were unbeaten in 28 games (!) until last month when they lost 4-0 at home to Blackpool, that was a bit of a concern, but everyone is entitled to a bad day at the office once in a while and it is how it is handled which is of more importance and they have won all four subsequent starts and each by 2+ goals without conceding , by a combined 10-0 and that is as good a bounce back as possible. Three of those four opponents were top half of the table and one was their closest rival at the time and it is an incredible run across the last nine months and looks highly impressive on John Mousinho's CV, which I am sure is being kept bang up to date by his agent!
 
I am loath to tempt fate by saying this, but they have a pretty good schedule over the next two months, playing just one of the current top 10 in their next 12 starts.
 
Hopefully they can make the most of that as they play eight of the top 10 and five of them on the road after February 24th.
 
The good news continued this week as Tom Lowery and Anthony Scully who have both had knee surgery and been out since August are set to make their returns to action this evening in an FLT tie and that will greatly increase quality options in the coming months.
 
Considering they have only conceded 16 goals total, it is also both surprising and encouraging that they have collect 17 points from losing positions this season and highlights just what a tough team to beat they are. 
 
I have one eye on Derby County, they are a massive club at this level and are finally building up a head of steam (16 points from their last 6 games) and head coach Paul Warne is someone who has twice won big outright bets for us in this league whilst at Rotherham United and few people know League 1 as well as he does.
 
Talking of good CV's , Warne's last four seasons in League 1.......
 
2017/18 Rotherham United 4th, won playoffs.
2019/20 Rotherham United 2nd, promoted.
2021/22 Rotherham United 2nd, promoted.
2022/23 Derby County 7th ( after relegation the year before and him not having a preseason in charge, taking over after 9 games).
 
Having said that, I am happy to let this play out for now and we can revisit League 1 after the Christmas and New Year games.
 
Good luck!
 
League 1 : 23/24 season outright (written July 24th)
 
Last season I went with Bolton Wanderers and my first set of notes on them are reproduced under the "good luck" sign off . They finished 5th with the second best defensive record, conceding only 36 goals and the two teams who gave up a similar number (Ipswich and Wednesday) were both promoted and every other team conceded at least nine more. The Trotters were very much in the mix, ticked most of the boxes and in any other year would have gone even closer and they also won the EFL Trophy at Wembley, beating champions Plymouth 4-0 (!) before a crowd of almost 80,000. They are a club heading firmly in the right direction and who I feel will continue to flourish and grow under astute and fair minded ownership who will make well judged decisions and I will be surprised if they are not top 6 again. However, the loss of goalkeeper James Trafford and RB Conor Bradley (see my notes from last season below) are HUGE, the former returned to Manchester City and has subsequently been sold for £15m to EPL side Burnley and Bradley is back with the Liverpool U21 team and I assume they will be looking to loan him to a Championship side to further his development. It will be very tough to replace the two and whilst they have already signed a RB and two new keepers, they look either of lower quality /potential and also, in one case (the main keeper), a little injury prone. Most importantly of all, the Bolton odds are, quite rightly given how well they did, half what they were last season. Having said all that, this is a MUCH weaker third tier than it was 12 months ago and Wanderers should go close and I would love to see them promoted, but they cannot make my short list (of one) this time around.
 
Last season's table......
 
2022/23 Overall Home Away
P W D L F A Gdf Pts Form P W D L F A P W D L F A
  1   Plymouth Argyle 46 31 8 7 82 47 +35 101 WWWW 23 20 1 2 44 16 23 11 7 5 38 31
  2   Ipswich Town 46 28 14 4 101 35 +66 98 XWWW 23 16 6 1 60 13 23 12 8 3 41 22
  3   Sheffield Wednesday 46 28 12 6 81 37 +44 96 WWWW 23 16 6 1 49 16 23 12 6 5 32 21
  4   Barnsley 46 26 8 12 80 47 +33 86 LXLW 23 16 1 6 45 24 23 10 7 6 35 23
  5   Bolton Wanderers 46 23 12 11 62 36 +26 81 WWLW 23 14 5 4 32 13 23 9 7 7 30 23
  6   Peterborough United 46 24 5 17 75 54 +21 77 WOLW 23 13 4 6 38 25 23 11 1 11 37 29
  7   Derby County 46 21 13 12 67 46 +21 76 LXWW 23 13 6 4 40 20 23 8 7 8 27 26
  8   Portsmouth 46 17 19 10 61 50 +11 70 XXWX 23 9 11 3 34 22 23 8 8 7 27 28
  9   Wycombe Wanderers 46 20 9 17 59 51 +8 69 XLLW 23 11 5 7 32 24 23 9 4 10 27 27
  10   Charlton Athletic 46 16 14 16 70 66 +4 62 XWLW 23 9 7 7 44 31 23 7 7 9 26 35
  11   Lincoln City 46 14 20 12 47 47 +0 62 WLLW 23 7 14 2 22 17 23 7 6 10 25 30
  12   Shrewsbury Town 46 17 8 21 52 61 -9 59 LWLL 23 11 3 9 32 32 23 6 5 12 20 29
  13   Fleetwood Town 46 14 16 16 53 51 +2 58 XLWO 23 7 8 8 25 25 23 7 8 8 28 26
 
The top three were all promoted and along with Derby County, Town and Wednesday were the biggest clubs in League 1 and all massive in third tier terms, capable of attracting 25,000 + crowds week after week. They have been replaced by Wigan Athletic , Reading and Blackpool two of whom have lurched from one financial crisis to another, and Athletic already start with an eight point deduction, we are not sure the money troubles are over with the Royals and they and the Seasiders are having to rebuild. As I said, this is definitely a weaker division.
 
Across the last four seasons, the top 3 places (12 teams total) have been filled by seven who finished between 6th-13th the previous season, which is why I cut short the table at half way.  The three biggest amongst those are Derby, Portsmouth and Charlton and each will be expected to kick on from last season's finishing position, but it is Pompey I am interested in.
 
Portsmouth overspent and fell on very hard times, when, after two FA Cup final appearances (2008 and 2010), seven straight seasons in the EPL and a place in Europe, they suffered three relegations in four seasons, along with three separate points deductions and found themselves in League 2 in 2013/14. It took four seasons on the breadline and almost starting from scratch to get back into L1 which they did in 2017, much of the hard work in rebuilding was done by the Pompey Supporters Trust, but they agreed to sell to the Tornante Company owned by former Walt Disney CEO Michael Eisner ahead of the start of 17/18 and they have been knocking on the door ever since. Eisner is not the sugar daddy type or likely to simply throw money at any project, but he has got the club stable and under him they have finished 8-4-4-8-10-8, they should have been promoted in at least two of those seasons, lost in the playoff semi finals twice and blew very good positions on other occasions but I feel this could finally be their time.
 
Young head coaches have had great success in this division in recent years and none of those would know League 1 as well as 37 yo Pompey boss John Mousinho, who played over 300 games at this level (550 total) including some 70 for Brentford, his first professional club. He only played some 30 odd games in the Championship, but made a good and very long career making the most of his ability and he was always going to stay in the game and become a coach after he retired. John was a leader on the pitch and very well thought of at every team he ever played for. He had a player/coach role at Oxford United, his final club, before taking the job at Portsmouth in January. Mousinho is well educated, attended college in the US, took a UK University degree whilst still playing and his UEFA Pro License whilst also being chairman of the Professional Footballers Association, stepping down from the role to join Pompey. At the time of his appointment, Portsmouth chief executive Andrew Cullen highlighted Mousinho's leadership and motivational skills as key and his contract has only ever been announced as "long term" which is odd. However, I am led to believe it is very long and was only not announced to avoid putting additional pressure on the first time head coach or club.
 
A whole host of well known and successful coaches were interviewed for the job, but Mousinho was named the stand out candidate and the one always wanted by Director of Football Richard Hughes who is even younger, despite holding that role for over 4 years at Forest Green Rovers until September last year. He was chased for a year by Pompey, the two will work closely together and this is their first proper transfer window together and they have been busy. Clearing out a lot of players seen as surplus to requirements and bringing in a mixture of young talent from clubs further up the football pyramid and others with a lot of experience. RW Gavin Whyte has almost 50 games in the Championship under his belt and is a full Northern Ireland international. CB Regan Poole and LW Anthony Scully have both played in L1 playoff finals in the last two years , the former is closing in on 200 games at this level and the latter has a West Ham grounding ( many years as a youth) is still only 24yo and already has a 38 goal contribution from out wide in L1. They have also been scouting wide and far and CF Kusini Yengi has arrived from Australia and scored a hat-trick at the weekend in a 9-1 win over L2 side Crawley Town. Afterwards, Mousinho spoke about the "fierce competition" he has for starting places amongst his forwards.
 
It was exactly half way (23 games) through last season that Mousinho took charge, they conceded just 20 goals from that point on , which if we extend that to the full season, puts them in that elite defensive ballpark that I touched upon earlier and collected 39 of their 70 points, losing just four times and ending the campaign on an 11 match unbeaten run. Immediately before his arrival, Pompey had taken just 11 points from a possible 45 , either side of which they averaged 1.903 ppg which is usually good for 2nd-4th place and the club were very tough to beat all season (10 defeats with the third fewest), obviously too many draws, especially at home, but fine margins decided those and key areas where they can clearly improve. Avoid the extended poor run and be a little more ruthless in front of goal and if they can achieve one, hopefully both, in a less competitive division, they have to go well.
 
Chelsea academy manager Jon Harley has joined as #2 to Mousinho, after a decade with the Blues and it looks as though there will be some more EPL loanees coming in via his contacts.
 
The club has already sold over 14,300 season tickets (less than 200 remain) which means that the home ends will be sold out most weeks at famous old Fratton Park (capacity 20K).
 
 
 
1.5 units Portsmouth to win League 1 @ 10.0-11.0 general quote.
 
3 units Portsmouth to gain promotion 4.0 general quote.

We don't just sell football betting tips, as you can see there is an extensive analysis behind our asian handicap selections. Subscribing to our sports betting advice service need not break the bank. Learn more by visiting our subscriptions page.

Country: 
Sport: 
Competition: 

Don't be selfish, share the betting tips