Round of 16, so 40 games played at this stage across the last five seasons, in terms of 1X2 they have played out 52.5%-27.5%-20%, with 52.5% also going "over" 2.5 goals and 35% producing 4 or more.

 

As they are mainly all Ligue 1 ties once we reach the last 16, it is noteworthy that L1 games produce far less home wins on average , more aways, roughly the same draws and fewer "overs" and that PSG also skew those numbers with 25/27 home wins in the last season and a half and going "over" in more that 81% of starts, So, in general terms, more goals and more homes in cup games, which is what we would expect anyway, but always nice to get some verification. 35% producing 4 or more goals is significantly above what we would usually expect in Ligue 1 and I have touched on that before as a good value starting point in this competition.

 

Now the hard part !

 

 

 

Dijon are level on points with Amiens ( see above) and would have the same priorities, they found a little form and were unbeaten in three , which included a 0-0 draw in this very fixture with Bordeaux 25 days ago, before a loss away to Rennes ( 2-0), where they held out for 70 minutes. They will have survival as their sole priority, but have not played for 11 days and not again for 21 after the weekend trip to St Etienne which looks super tough with the host strong at home ( 6-2-0) and pushing for top 3 , so no real reason why Dijon cannot give this a go and they beat Caen 3-1 here in the previous round.

 

Bordeaux are in 12th on 21 points, but with a game or two in hand on almost all teams directly above them and a push at top 6, maybe even better, is still very much on the cards. They are out of the Europa League now, but played 12 (!) games in qualifying and group stage, starting in July and must be a little drained, but are in good form, scoring 8 goals in four starts since that goalless draw with Dijon, including a win over St Etienne and draw with PSG. Dijon were the dominant team in that recent h2h meeting "winning" all the main stat categories, it felt like one of those games where one goal would have quickly led to one or two more and that has normally been the case in this fixture, with two 0-0 draws in six meetings, but three producing 4 or more goals, so, feast or famine ! The visitors have left injured Zaydou Youssouf at home, but otherwise can name an unchanged starting 11 to their last league game. Both should be "going for it", but the visitors at close to full strength and Dijon without many players including injured Nayef Aguerd and Senou Coulibaly while Mehdi Abeid ,Laurent Ciman and Wesley Lautoa are suspended, they are four of the five central defenders at the club and their main defensive midfielder ( conceded 17 goals, 2+ in each in the last 6 games in which he has played 45 minutes or less) They usually play with three CB's, the five defenders named tonight include the remaining CB, along with three right and one left backs and a lopsided look. Goals and an away win.