Championship betting tip: Swansea City- Middlesbrough
Mar 06, 2021
Championship: Swansea City- Middlesbrough
City have the best defence in the Championship apparently . They have conceded the fewest goals I will admit, but I have seen a lot of them and it all has a touch of the "Emperor's New Clothes" and I can see head coach Steve Cooper walking nude through Swansea city centre once the Swans are truly found out . The signs are there it is happening, good defences do not give up three goals to Bristol City, "lose" 7-1 ITB to Forest , or 14-0 to Brentford (4-0 BC's) all at home, or ship four goals away to struggling Huddersfield who are otherwise winless this year, all in recent starts. I think Boro are decent and a good yardstick and that City will need to score at least twice to win this, the visitors have scored 16 goals in their last 9 away starts (2+ in five), only coming up short away to leaders Norwich City and they bossed that statistically. I expect to see goals today, think that offers value, but would not rule out the "upset" away win. Boro are 4th for xP, six points ahead of the Swans albeit having played two games more.
1.75 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.50 asian line/Sportmarket.
Good luck !
Glossary:
ITB= inside the box attempts, Goal of the month competitions usually feature several long range contenders and we always remember those 30 yard bullets into the top corner, but only 12.87% of Premier League goals over the last three seasons have been scored from outside the box , good coaches are known to encourage players to look for better scoring opportunities and it is usually only supporters urging "shoooooot" everytime the goal is within sight, even if there are 20 players between ball and net .
XG= expected goals.
XGF= expected goals for.
XGA = expected goals against.
XGD = expected goal difference.
XP = expected points.
BC = big scoring chance.
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