Rogers Cup tennis betting tip ...........
Aug 06, 2018
Julia Goerges- Timea Babos
If Goerges is up for this she should win and quickly.
I spoke about Babos' issues v stronger players at the Miami Open earlier this year .............
Jelena Ostapenko served us very well at Roland Garros last year and she is great fun to watch on any surface, she always goes for her shots and can be unplayable when things click, but her second serve needs a lot of work. But maybe we can let that slide today as we get odds against and I have her as favourite to beat Timea Babos who is a bit of a "flat track bully" in that she is 24-26 in the last 12 months, 14-4 v opponents ranked 101 +, but 10-22 v those inside the 100 (68-122 career) and 3-14 against top 50 (27-79 career).With lifetime records backing up those numbers. In career Premier tournaments like this, she is 0-11 against top 10 players winning just four sets. Babos did beat Mona Barthel 7-6 6-3 in Round 1, but the German was wasteful, winning just 2 of 11 break points.
Ostapenko is 81-49 on hardcourts versus non top 20 players .
Babos is a world class doubles player (top 5), but whilst she has been as low as 25 in singles, she has to play above herself to stay around 45-50 and Ostapenko is a couple of levels above that. I also expect the performances of Osaka and Kasatkina, who are her age group, at Indian Wells to inspire/motivate and she will surely want to find some real form before the clay season starts and the build up to Roland Garros in many ways begins today.
Ostapenko won that in two, Babos actually made the final in her next tournament Monterrey but lost there to the only top 50 player she faced that week. She is 3-9 subsequently, with her wins coming over players ranked 57-256-75, her losses included one to Goerges in Madrid ( 6-2 6-4) and 0&1 to Sakkari last week. She is 1-19 versus top 10 in WTA events. 8-39 v top 20 and 26-87 against those ranked inside the top 50.
Goerges in now up to #10, is 24-8 on hardcourts v those ranked 21+ in the last 12 months, 18-4 since Moscow last year, with two losses coming to Petra Kvitova who's non 20 ranking was a very temporary blip and, 10 of her last 11 wins within that category have come in two sets.
Goerges skipped Washington where she made the final last year (opted to play elsewhere the week before), but she has been in Montreal practicing for a week and perhaps it is just that now she is top 10, she wants to focus more on the bigger events and she has no points to defend here.
1.5 units Julia Goerges to win 2-0 sets 1.95 Pinnacle/Sportmarket Pro.
Good Luck.
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